WN 3557 · SFO → PHX

took off 5:45 AM PT · landed 7:11 AM MT (scheduled 5:33 AM PT → 7:32 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SFO are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3557 · SFO → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?