WN 3563 · DAL → SDF

departs 1:25 PM CT · arrives 4:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDF?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

SDF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3563 · DAL → SDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDF?