WN 3570 · HOU → OMA

departs 9:24 AM CT · arrives 11:41 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OMA that day

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

OMA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.89 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3570 · HOU → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?