WN 3658 · SLC → DEN

took off 7:00 AM MT · expected to land 7:57 AM MT (scheduled 6:42 AM MT → 8:07 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3658 · SLC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?