WN 3706 · SAN → BOS

departs 3:47 PM PT · arrives 12:04 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3706 · SAN → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?