WN 3744 · SEA → HOU

departs 8:56 AM PT · arrives 3:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3744 · SEA → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?