WN 3778 · COS → HOU

departs 10:49 AM MT · arrives 1:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 40 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ 10am departures from COS are usually not late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts40 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.83 in

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3778 · COS → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?