WN 382 · AUS → ELP

took off 8:48 AM CT · landed 9:01 AM MT (scheduled 8:39 AM CT → 9:24 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ELP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

ELP (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 382 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late did it get to ELP?