WN 3834 · IND → MDW

took off 7:58 AM ET · landed 7:36 AM CT (scheduled 7:31 AM ET → 7:44 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.00 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3834 · IND → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?