WN 3867 · MAF → DAL

took off 6:54 AM CT · landed 7:48 AM CT (scheduled 6:48 AM CT → 8:05 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MAF that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MAF are usually not late

Weather at each end

MAF (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

DAL (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3867 · MAF → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?