WN 3873 · DEN → BZN

departs 9:06 AM MT · arrives 10:47 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

BZN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3873 · DEN → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?