WN 392 · BNA → BOS

departs 6:39 PM CT · arrives 10:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 392 · BNA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?