WN 3973 · TYS → BWI

departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 10:04 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3973 · TYS → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?