WN 3984 · BNA → CVG

departs 6:34 PM CT · arrives 8:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3984 · BNA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?