Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3996 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:13 PM ET, ETA 1:04 PM ET)
Today

WN 3996 · BWI → BUF

took off 12:13 PM ET · expected to land 1:04 PM ET (scheduled 11:15 AM ET → 12:31 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
99% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BUF?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    77%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.