WN 4029 · DAL → BHM

departs 8:54 PM CT · arrives 10:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ 8pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

BHM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4029 · DAL → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?