WN 4035 · DEN → SAT

departs 6:00 PM MT · arrives 9:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

SAT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4035 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?