WN 4068 · MEM → HOU

took off 7:06 AM CT · landed 8:18 AM CT (scheduled 6:57 AM CT → 8:35 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4068 · MEM → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?