Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4069
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4069 · BNA → FLL
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 25%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.