WN 4104 · JAN → HOU

took off 6:47 PM CT · landed 7:49 PM CT (scheduled 6:33 PM CT → 8:00 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAN

Weather at each end

JAN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4104 · JAN → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?