WN 4141 · ICT → DEN

departs 7:17 PM CT · arrives 7:52 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 767 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.92 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4141 · ICT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?