WN 4194 · MCI → DAL

departs 6:17 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,167 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4194 · MCI → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?