WN 41 · DAL → HOU

departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 41 · DAL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?