WN 421 · LAS → PIT

departs 1:33 PM PT · arrives 8:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 421 · LAS → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?