WN 4230 · HOU → FLL

departs 6:18 PM CT · arrives 9:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

FLL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.71 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4230 · HOU → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?