WN 4243 · DEN → LGB

departs 3:05 PM MT · arrives 4:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGB that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

LGB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4243 · DEN → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?