WN 4248 · BWI → PDX

took off 8:30 AM ET · expected to land 10:33 AM PT (scheduled 8:15 AM ET → 10:50 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4248 · BWI → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?