WN 4258 · MEM → HOU

departs 12:28 PM CT · arrives 2:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4258 · MEM → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?