WN 4287 · LAS → HOU

took off 3:09 PM PT · landed 7:40 PM CT (scheduled 2:41 PM PT → 7:40 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4287 · LAS → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?