WN 4302 · OGG → OAK

took off 10:07 AM HT · landed 5:52 PM PT (scheduled 10:00 AM HT → 6:06 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 5% of the time recently

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4302 · OGG → OAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAK?