WN 4343 · ALB → BWI

took off 3:45 PM ET · landed 4:43 PM ET (scheduled 3:04 PM ET → 4:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from ALB are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

BWI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4343 · ALB → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?