WN 4359 · MDW → BDL

departs 6:17 PM CT · arrives 9:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 6pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.04 in

BDL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4359 · MDW → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?