WN 4375 · BWI → SJC

departs 3:44 PM ET · arrives 6:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4375 · BWI → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?