WN 4398 · SAV → BWI

took off 8:13 AM ET · landed 9:33 AM ET (scheduled 7:59 AM ET → 9:53 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SAV that day

↓ 7am departures from SAV are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.12 in

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4398 · SAV → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?