Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4403
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4403 · BWI → DAL
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
BWI is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 5,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 2,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.