Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4447 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 4447 · PHX → OKC

departs 7:27 PM MT · arrives 11:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day

↑ 7pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4447 · PHX → OKC

Odds over time