WN 4486 · HOU → MSY

took off 11:42 AM CT · landed 12:27 PM CT (scheduled 11:24 AM CT → 12:45 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MSY (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4486 · HOU → MSY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSY?