WN 4538 · DAL → FLL

departs 3:56 PM CT · arrives 7:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

FLL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4538 · DAL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?