WN 4594 · SAN → SAT

departs 9:03 AM PT · arrives 1:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4594 · SAN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?