WN 4598 · LAS → OKC

departs 4:16 PM PT · arrives 8:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 4pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4598 · LAS → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?