WN 45 · PNS → DAL

departs 2:59 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 45 · PNS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?