WN 4624 · TYS → BNA

took off 5:48 PM ET · landed 5:21 PM CT (scheduled 5:29 PM ET → 5:34 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from TYS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4624 · TYS → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?