WN 4633 · DEN → CLE

departs 11:29 AM MT · arrives 4:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.11 in

CLE (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4633 · DEN → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?