Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4634
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 4634 · DEN → ABQ
departs 5:10 PM MT · arrives 6:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 24%
Fri 10/2 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±10 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
37%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.