WN 4646 · SAT → DEN

took off 7:18 AM CT · landed 8:04 AM MT (scheduled 6:58 AM CT → 8:08 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4646 · SAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?