WN 4654 · OMA → DEN

took off 7:54 AM CT · landed 8:12 AM MT (scheduled 7:21 AM CT → 7:59 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from OMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.40 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4654 · OMA → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?