WN 4671 · DAL → SJC

took off 12:36 PM CT · landed 1:38 PM PT (scheduled 11:59 AM CT → 1:36 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

SJC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4671 · DAL → SJC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJC?