WN 4672 · DEN → MTJ

departs 6:06 PM MT · arrives 7:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MTJ?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MTJ that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MTJ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

MTJ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4672 · DEN → MTJ

Odds over time

How late will it get to MTJ?