WN 4685 · HOU → BWI

took off 8:02 AM CT · landed 11:37 AM ET (scheduled 7:57 AM CT → 12:10 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ 7am departures from HOU are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4685 · HOU → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?