Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4694 · CLE → BNA
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from CLE are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.